Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.339624 1.518079 1.713438 1.943494 2.207411 2.501179 2.853615
2025-12-07 1.078914 1.315561 1.595843 1.953576 2.399871 2.940670 3.649248
2025-12-14 0.886242 1.145776 1.473239 1.919474 2.515949 3.291644 4.386407
2025-12-21 0.739791 1.003760 1.354747 1.859986 2.575874 3.564702 5.052694
2025-12-28 0.673736 0.954397 1.345533 1.937162 2.821196 4.111833 6.173124
2026-01-04 0.615413 0.905419 1.326674 1.992535 3.035942 4.637308 7.337314
2026-01-11 0.564653 0.859386 1.303744 2.034656 3.230681 5.152346 8.558952
2026-01-18 0.518361 0.813495 1.273740 2.058809 3.395569 5.636280 9.798363
2026-01-25 0.467413 0.753810 1.214081 2.025202 3.456732 5.950260 10.783782
2026-02-01 0.413422 0.682995 1.127941 1.935146 3.406207 6.058691 11.402830
2026-02-08 0.373370 0.631167 1.067669 1.881939 3.412537 6.266429 12.237216
2026-02-15 0.340612 0.588452 1.018370 1.841944 3.436575 6.507230 13.170046
2026-02-22 0.326959 0.579224 1.029242 1.918351 3.700478 7.264467 15.338068
2026-03-01 0.307342 0.557313 1.015009 1.945783 3.873085 7.867658 17.295122
2026-03-08 0.282847 0.523843 0.975678 1.919060 3.931565 8.242337 18.809850
2026-03-15 0.257559 0.486342 0.924714 1.862520 3.919167 8.461635 20.000382
2026-03-22 0.249778 0.482042 0.938137 1.941095 4.210803 9.402536 23.140929
2026-03-29 0.240145 0.473023 0.940988 1.997145 4.459486 10.282978 26.309322
2026-04-05 0.229930 0.461762 0.937941 2.039609 4.682373 11.136563 29.585904
2026-04-12 0.218903 0.447714 0.927508 2.063927 4.865066 11.919333 32.833787
2026-04-19 0.203977 0.423981 0.893848 2.030271 4.900176 12.329461 35.093266
2026-04-26 0.185960 0.391971 0.838994 1.939987 4.779811 12.310538 36.063065
2026-05-03 0.172328 0.368471 0.801071 1.886643 4.748433 12.529187 37.820913